Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 18th September 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The aussie traded on a low volume and the RBAs comments helped not push the pair higher even in a risk on environment, employment numbers came in positive from were price had a short lived surge after pairing back the gains. With the USDollar regaining some upside from the lows and the December…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 11th September 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The Bank of Australia (RBA) held onto its cash rate this week and no significant commentary or change has been made to the monetary policy with the central bank adopting its usual neutral stance, hinting to improved employment along with continued low wages and housing numbers, the AUD didn’t react to the release…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 21st August 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: After the sharp sell off based on NFP and with the USDollar finding support and bouncing from the lows, this happened due to the NFP release while investors have found value buying the low of the USDollar index, this week the scenario changed as the FOMC minutes showed that inflation is still subdued…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 14th August 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: We’ve had some comments from the RBAs Asist Gov Kent who talked about the economy and fixed income markets outlining Australian bonds as well as the 10 year government bond yield while they show an uptick it’s still in a long term weakness. The RBA is expected to stay in a wait and…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 7th August 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The RBA minutes showed that despite the central bank voicing some hawkish rhetoric, the commodity currency is away from seeing a rate hike anytime soon according to the monetary statement, housing needs to improve as well as inflation and a strong currency is hurting the Australian economy which is why RBA Gov Lowe…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 31st July 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: US data remained rather soft throughout the trading week and the driver of DXY (US Dollar) price was largely the FED and the FOMC minutes where the FED stated that is looking to reduce its balance sheet relatively soon. No press release was issued and its save to say that market participants are…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 24th July 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: At the start of the week the RBA minutes showed market participants that the are upbeat about the economy with many buying the AUD currency in expectation of a future rate hike, however there was no specific language communicating this. Later in the week RBA Assist Gov Debelle dismissed any speculation and gave…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 10th July 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The USDollar found support and powered up after upbeat NFP payroll numbers as well as ISM and service sector readings. Inflation which is the preferred FED number remains sluggish but markets are shrugging it off due to the positive outlook of the FED as well as Chair Yellens speech in which she let…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 1st May 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The outcome of the first round of the French election gave the US Dollar its best week yet this year. A runoff remains to be contested, but the probability that a eurosceptic will lead the second-largest EU member state now seems significantly lower. this has reduced the chance that a burst of destabilizing…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 24th April 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The US dollar next week will be focused on the Q1 GDP data with many market participants fearing a slowdown. The Atlanta FED GDP projections predicts that output will be better with only 0.5% growth which is weaker than 1%-2%, expected by markets. Geopolitical tensions are still alive but they shifted broadly around…

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