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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 11th February 2018

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The RBA policy was left unchanged and the usual dovish language to talk the exchange rate further down was present and the RBA succeeded in weakening the aussie further. Next weeks jobs number will be in focus but even if the australian economy receives improved jobs numbers it might not strengthen the currency…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 5th February 2018

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The Australian q/q CPI came in as lower than expected. The 0.6% figure was maintained by the economy despite the market waiting for a 0.1% increase, this started to paint a bearish picture fundamentally before the FOMC meeting minutes. The FED reiterated the same language as usual expecting rates to increase 3-4 times…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 29th January 2018

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The Aussie celebrated its bank holiday and was quiet much throughout the week from a fundamentals standpoint with no major figure releases. The USD made up for that with plenty knee jerk reaction as the World Economic Forum commenced, first we had Treasury Secretary Mnuchin who downplayed the USD welcoming a weaker dollar…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 15th January 2018

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The Australian rally is resilient and it is extending gains, the first reason for no pullback to value was the better than expected retail sales from the previous 0.5% up to the 1.2%. While traders are still eyeing a pullback for the trend to confirm, next week the aussie jobs data along with…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 8th January 2018

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: Economists are warning more loudly about the Australian economy and especially a slowdown from China which would negatively impact GDP and exports on top of already flat growth and a housing bubble emerging in the australian economy. The RBA signalled that the next change could either be a hike or a cut for…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 1st January 2018

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The aussie dollar continued its rally as the USDollar lost some ground but remains above established support. One thing to note is that the passing of the TAX bill although it carried media attention it did not influence the USDollar as much as market participants were expecting it, instead many have said it…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 25th December 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The aussie dollar continued its rally as the USDollar lost some ground but remains above established support. One thing to note is that the passing of the TAX bill although it carried media attention it did not influence the USDollar as much as market participants were expecting it, instead many have said it…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 18th December 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The aussie managed to rally while the USD weakened against a handful of G10 currencies. The FED raised the federal funds rate but due not projecting even higher growth fell short of market expectations and the dollar weakened while many have called it a ‘dovish hike’. On the back of his dovish hike…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 11th December 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The RBA did not have much of a reaction and failed to induce volatility and volume to the Australian currency. Retails sales improved from 0.1% to 0.5% which carried the aussie higher slightly as the week started, with the RBA not making any changes in line with expectations there was no reason for…

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Greg’s Weekly Analysis W/C 4th December 2017

AUDUSD: Fundamentals: The Australian currencies’ strength or weakness is very much at the hand of the USDollar, the Australian economy posted a higher building approvals number which could be positive for the housing sector down the road an area where the Australian economy has been sluggish, that said capital expenditure weakened with 0.1% but all…

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